Category Archives: Bounded Resilience

Complexity, Short Term Volatility, The Exponential, And The Limits Of Human Cognition

The problem with complex systems, such as Climate Change, the Energy System, and Financial Systems, is that they tend not to move in straight lines. Instead, they tend to oscillate around a trend and can move in a counter-trend fashion … Continue reading

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Methane: The Movie

An attempt at humour in a darkening world …. A ship rests on the Arctic waters below a kaleidoscope of colours bouncing around the northern sky. A group of scientists sit chatting about methane emissions and hockey while enjoying a … Continue reading

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Ice Sheet Loss Following An Exponential Trend

Up until recently the general scientific consensus was that the large ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica would melt at a rate that would cause a very limited rise in sea levels this century. The predictions for sea level rise … Continue reading

Posted in Arctic Warming, Bounded Resilience, Climate Change | 1 Comment

The Problem With An Undulating Trend And Natural Variability

The dictionary defines the word “undulating” as having a wave-like appearance. In nature, nothing ever moves in a straight line. There may be a general trend, but things will undulate around that trend. Sometimes above the trend, sometimes below the … Continue reading

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Developing a Framework for Assessing Country-Level Resilience

With the final draft of the “Schizophrenic Society” text now with my editor, I can change focus to other intellectual pursuits. A major interest is to develop an overall conceptual framework with which to assess the resilience of a country … Continue reading

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Arctic Amplification, Weird Weather and Agriculture

Fossil-fuel powered human civilization has existed for just over two centuries, a mere blink of an eye compared to the billions of years that the earth has existed, and has been aided by a relatively benign and stable global climate. … Continue reading

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Bounded Resilience: The Most Important Concept You Were Never Taught

The human body is a miracle of self-organizing complexity which is resilient enough to sustain itself against many different challenges and changes in external variables. There are limits to this resilience though, and it has to be constantly on alert … Continue reading

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